IA – Republican – Iowa should be a Democratic state. Its location in the Mid-West, matched with a strong working class who value jobs in traditional industries, such as farming and manufacturing should make this an easy win for the Democrats. However, this is the group that Trump has overwhelmingly impressed this cycle. His promise of creating more jobs, ‘Making America Great Again’ and bringing back jobs from countries that have undercut Mid-Westerners will be a vote winner – people believe they are voting to increase the size of their wallet. Clinton is too associated with NAFTA, which also damages her. Like Florida, Clinton is probably the more popular candidate, but voter turnout will be low and suit Trump.
Article source: http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/duncan-kenyon/hillary-clinton-polling_b_12741460.html?utm_hp_ref=uk-politics&ir=UK+Politics