Tories who worked on David Cameron’s election campaign say it is now too late to do the job properly. “There is a big aversion to just bussing people into seats now. That would be the operational difficulty” says a former 2015 organiser. “In the last election most candidates were in place a year before”.
Party members also worry they have run out of time. “Winning marginals off Labour and Libs needs to be done over months and preferably years – so not putting candidates in place because of boundary reviews runs the risk of making it that much harder to win marginals (and get a bigger majority)”, says one Tory MP.
But more importantly, according to one ex-Cameron campaigner, the Tories do not have time to drum up cash from donors – which usually kicks off a year before the deadline.
“Raising significant funds will take a while. Constituency associations need to start doing it, which takes absolutely ages”, they said. “The Tories look in in financial shape, but the way they make money takes longer”.
Unlike Labour, which has the support of the unions, the Conservatives rely heavily on private donors, who need to be courted. Labour figures have also boasted that their finances are in place for an early election after a membership surge filled their coffers with “millions”.
Added to this, another headache: insiders say a manifesto should also be underway by now, which it isn’t.
“The process of drafting can take a few months – but you need to start up a year or so really. You want to want to pitch your main issues to the media over several months”, said one source.
All this may explain why May is not pressing her advantage and calling an election, despite temptation in the polls. (One recent analysis suggests the Tories would gain around 16 seats, to 347, while Labour would slump to 215. Another poll sees Labour at 190, while senior Labour figures predict catastrophe if an election goes ahead). Having opted to “steady the ship” back in June, ruling out a snap election and calming the post-Brexit markets, it may be too late to change course now.
Article source: http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2016/11/04/is-this-the-real-reason-may-wont-call-a-snap-election-the-party-isnt-ready_n_12865218.html?utm_hp_ref=uk-politics&ir=UK+Politics