The government is set to give details on its planned 14-day quarantine for anyone arriving in the UK.
Speaking at the Number 10 press briefing this afternoon, the Home Secretary Priti Patel is expected to say that police will carry out up to 100 daily spot-checks on people who have arrived in the UK, whether on holiday or returning home.
But what are your odds of getting checked? Prior to the pandemic, around 200,000 passengers would arrive in the UK per day. At that rate, your odds of getting caught would be approximately 2000 to 1. Even if the number of arrivals in the UK is a quarter of the pre-pandemic rate (say, 50,000 arrivals) as the travel sector slowly reopens, your odds of getting checked would be 1 in 500.