SpaceX launch: When will Elon Musk’s car CRASH into Earth? Latest path projection

“Although some of the orbits experience effects due to mean-motion and secular resonances criss-crossing the NEA space, the orbital evolution remains initially dominated by close encounters with the terrestrial planets, in particular Earth, Venus and Mars.

“About half of our 15,000,000 integrations result in a collision with the Earth, Venus, and the Sun.”

Over a period of 15 million years there is a 22 percent chance of Starman hitting Earth and 12 percent chance of it striking Venus.

Fortunately, most meteors are smaller than a car will simply burn- up in the atmosphere as harmless meteors.

And it is highly likely that the Tesla will not survive the rigours of space radiation long enough to ever see the Earth up-close again.